In Short, They're Spectacular

Jason Michael Barker

If you're even a casual fan of the game, I'm sure you're familiar with the trio of outstanding young shortstops currently toiling in the American League. Seattle's Alex Rodriguez, Boston's Nomar Garciaparra and Derek Jeter of the Yankees are among the best ever to play at the same time.

There has been a great deal of debate regarding which of the three is the "best" shortstop, a debate which began in 1996 when Rodriguez had a MVP-caliber season while Jeter took home Rookie of the Year honors. When Garciaparra came on the scene in 1997, the debate surrounded the two heavy hitters, Nomar and Alex. This year all three are enjoying terrific seasons, and each are regarded as MVP candidates.

What follows is an in-depth look at each of the three, split into three comparisons -- hitting, defense, and baserunning. Finally, we'll take a look at the total package, complete with an overall ranking.

Hitting

In looking at offense, we won't measure the normal statistical lines, focusing instead on the numbers that tell about a player's development as a hitter. Runs and RBI are too dependent on the contributions of teammates, while batting average is pushed aside in favor of the more complete measure, on-base percentage (OBP).

Two additional numbers we'll look at are K:BB ratio, and the number of pitches each player sees per plate appearance (P/PA). The former is a good measure of a hitter's plate discipline (lower numbers are better), and the latter tells you how patient a hitter is at the plate. Finally, age is listed as a measure of progress and development. If two hitters have roughly the same numbers but one is 23 and the other 27, it follows that the younger player has a brighter future, while the 27-year old may have peaked.

Alex Rodriguez
Year Age G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO K:BB OBP SLG P/PA
1994 18 17 54 11 0 0 0 3 20 6.67 .241 .204 3.9
1995 19 48 142 33 6 2 5 6 42 7.00 .264 .408 4.0
1996 20 146 601 215 54 1 36 59 104 1.76 .414 .631 4.1
1997 21 141 587 176 40 3 23 41 99 2.06 .350 .496 3.9
1998 22 138 593 181 29 5 38 38 105 2.76 .356 .563 3.8
Career   490 1977 616 129 11 102 147 370 2.52 .363 .543 3.9
Nomar Garciaparra
Year Age G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO K:BB OBP SLG P/PA
1996 22 24 87 21 2 3 4 4 14 3.50 .272 .471 3.7
1997 23 153 684 209 44 11 30 35 92 2.63 .342 .534 3.2
1998 24 120 514 167 32 7 30 29 49 1.69 .364 .589 3.4
Career   297 1285 397 78 21 64 68 155 2.28 .346 .552 3.3
Derek Jeter
Year Age G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO K:BB OBP SLG P/PA
1995 21 15 48 12 4 1 0 3 11 3.67 .294 .375 3.6
1996 22 157 582 183 25 6 10 48 102 2.13 .370 .430 3.7
1997 23 159 654 190 31 7 10 74 125 1.69 .370 .405 3.9
1998 24 125 535 179 23 6 17 49 98 2.00 .393 .495 3.9
Career   456 1819 564 83 20 37 174 336 1.93 .375 .439 3.8

Clearly, all three players are quite productive from an offensive standpoint, but they get the job done in different ways. Rodriguez and Garciaparra are pure sluggers, getting on base at a decent clip while hitting a ton of doubles and home runs. Jeter's calling card is his high OBP, bolstered by his solid walk totals. However, he lacks the power possessed by Nomar and Alex.

Of the three, Jeter has the worst strikeout rate, but makes up for it by drawing a good number of walks. His career 3.8 P/PA is good for a player his age, and he seems to be improving his K:BB ratio. Rodriguez strikes out slightly less, but doesn't walk nearly as often. He would improve significantly if he could get his K:BB ratio back to his 1996-97 numbers, and his good P/PA numbers suggest that he can. Garciaparra doesn't strike out often, but he doesn't walk much, either. His K:BB ratio is good and has increased every year, but he isn't very patient at the plate, as evidenced by his career 3.3 P/PA and his record of swinging at the first pitch 45% of the time last season.

Jeter has showed marked improvement in his slugging this season, which is up 90 points from last, and it's not unusual for a player to develop power around age 24. Still, he can't compete with the power production of his two peers. As far as offense goes, the debate boils down to Rodriguez vs. Garciaparra

Garciaparra is having a wonderful season, even better perhaps than that of Rodriguez. Remember that second column, however, which proves to be all-important in making this comparison. Nomar is tearing up the league at 24 years of age, while Alex is putting up similar numbers despite being two full years younger. Jeter, likewise, is 24. In 1996, Rodriguez had perhaps the finest season ever by a shortstop - and was just 20. At 20, Garciaparra was playing at high-A ball, while Jeter was at AA.

What does this all mean? Offensively, Rodriguez edges out Garciaparra in a close one, with most of the difference due to age. Season to season, Nomar might put up better numbers for the next couple of years, but Alex's peak seasons (age 26 to 29) should surpass those of Nomar or Derek.

- Sure, but what about defense and speed? -

 

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